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University
402 · Performance & Metrics

What Premium Selling Actually Pays

Deliberately unglamorous calibration against what gets claimed online.

Beginner11 min readUpdated

Worth reading first: Cash-Secured Puts, From Cash to Assignment

Course catalogue99 lessons

“$5,000 a month selling options” is an income target, not a return assumption. No account size guarantees it: premium receipts, trading profit and sustainable withdrawals are different quantities.

The gap between that sentence and how the claim is usually presented is what this lesson is about, and the arithmetic is not complicated. It is just rarely done.

What an account size actually supports

Enter an account size and a concentration limit. The monthly premium figure at the bottom is the good-case number, before any losing cycles.

$50000.00
$100.00
20.00

percent of the account

Capital per contract$9,500$95 strike × 100
Account could secure5if you used every dollar
Concentration limit allows120% of the account
Sensible position1 contract
Monthly premium at that size$133one 30-day cycle, before fees and losses
As a share of the account0.27%per month, in the good case
One 30-day cycle at roughly 5% out of the money and 30% implied volatility. Fees, losses and idle capital are excluded, all of which reduce it.

The arithmetic

Gross premium scenario = capital deployed × assumed premium yield

Everything else is a variation on this.

Use an explicitly hypothetical yield to explore the arithmetic, then assess its risk. Neither a fixed 1–2% monthly premium rate nor a constant fraction retained after losses is a defensible universal return forecast. Actual results depend on trades, market paths, costs, and stock positions created by assignment.

AccountDeployedGross monthlyIf 30% of receipts went to costs/losses
$10,000$8,000$120$84/mo
$50,000$40,000$600≈$420/mo
$100,000$80,000$1,200≈$840/mo
$500,000$400,000$6,000≈$4,200/mo

At 1.5% monthly on deployed capital, 80% utilisation, before losses and tax.

The last column is only a sensitivity calculation: 70% of the assumed gross receipts. There is no evidence here that 30% covers future losses. Losses can exceed all collected premiums and make the period negative. At $100,000, for example, $1,200 received less $2,500 of trading and marked stock losses is a $1,300 loss before additional costs.

Income and capital preservation pull against each other

The uncomfortable structural point. Higher monthly income requires selling closer to the money, which raises assignment frequency and drawdown depth.

You cannot choose a higher income rate independently of the risk that produces it. A trader making 3% a month is not better at this than one making 1.5%. They are running a different risk level, and they will find out which in a bad quarter.

The variable people think they are optimising is income. The variable they are actually moving is drawdown.

Small accounts, honestly

Small accounts can be constrained by the 100-share contract unit. There is no universal $25,000 diversification threshold: the strikes, contract sizes, correlation and reserved cash determine concentration. Lower-priced stocks do not automatically reduce risk, see position sizing.

The realistic options are defined-risk spreads, low-priced underlyings, or continuing to build the account first. What does not work is running the strategy at five times the sensible size because the income at sensible size is disappointing.

At $10,000, the hypothetical table produces only $120 of gross receipts, with no assurance of positive net return. Contributions can matter more to account growth at this size, but a $200 deposit is additional savings, not investment outperformance. Keep deposits separate from returns.

What the strategy is actually good at

Not replacing a salary from a modest account. What premium selling does well is generate a stream of option receipts from capital you already have. Those receipts can coexist with substantial drawdowns and negative total returns; neither smooth performance nor a sustainable withdrawal schedule follows from selling premium.

That is genuinely valuable for someone drawing on a portfolio, and it is a much more defensible reason to do it. See benchmarking.

What can go wrong

Extrapolating a good month. The bad ones are part of the distribution.

Sizing up to hit an income target. Targets do not change what the market pays; they only change your risk.

Comparing your net figure to someone's gross. Different quantities entirely.

Quitting a job on a projection. The projection excludes the bad quarter.

Key takeaways

  1. Model premium receipts with explicit assumptions; they are not promised returns.
  2. No fixed haircut reliably turns gross receipts into expected profit; include negative scenarios.
  3. Account size alone cannot guarantee an income target.
  4. Income rate and risk are the same dial: higher monthly income means closer strikes and deeper drawdowns.
  5. Concentration depends on contract obligations and correlations; contributions are not investment returns.

Check your understanding

  1. 1. At roughly 1.5% monthly on deployed capital with 80% utilisation, what does a $100,000 account generate gross?

  2. 2. You want to double your monthly income. What actually changes?

  3. 3. What is the honest assessment of premium selling on a $10,000 account?